1. Believe no one. At times even yourself. If they tell you that stocks return more than bonds over the long term, ask them what they mean by long term. If they say 10 years, ask them if they've heard about a country called Japan. In 20 years, the stock market there has halved. If they say shit happens, ask them if they've heard about a country called the United States of America - 8 years (2000 to 2008), that market hasn't gone anywhere. Long term, short term, any term. If stocks return better than bonds, then just remember, you're also taking a higher risk. If you can't do the time, don't do the crime.
2. In the end, it all boils down to luck. Some people are born lucky and some are unlucky losers. Most of mankind trades in between. But no one is bigger than the markets. Take all the collective advice and learnings from all those market experts bombarding the CNBCs of the world and put it on one side. As Jack Welch said "There are more mediocre people making more money on Wall Street than any other place on earth. " So for all their collective experience, their pedigree education, their wisdom, their brilliance, they're all as prone to fall victim to greed as you are. From Wall Street to Dalal Street, a sucker's born every minute. The game changes, but the rules remain the same. South Sea, tulips, Ponzi, Enron, Long Term Capital Management, sub-prime.... I say bring it on. This is what the human race has to offer, as proof of so many years of technological advancement and progress. Sheesh. In some matters, we're still apes. Evolution kinda passed us by there now, didn't it.
3. Fear will scare you, and greed can kill you. Discipline is not a four-letter word. It's a tough exercise that you learn through the years. That's right, your own wisdom from your own experience. Not that of the guy managing your money, because he sure ain't answerable to anyone. Not you. Not to his boss. Ever wonder why there's only one Warren Buffett in the world? Read what he has to say. Learn, fall, learn and move on. Life's a bitch, but there's always debt, right?
4. Making money isn't fun. Bull runs don't last forever, and the bear is one ugly animal. Your money is hard-earned, so think before listening to some slick dude/babe armed with a laptop, who's flashing a presentation about the power of compounding, or long-term investing, or the next big thing. He's just trying to earn a living and the younger he is, chances are he'll only tell you about what happened between 2003 and 2007. Nowadays, spreadsheets and presentations aren't updating too quickly for what's happened in 2008.
5. Define and dare. Be clear that you have what it takes. Be clear about what it can cost you. It's your hard-earned money and that's what is at stake. There are no notional losses, there are just lost opportunities. If you want a suit, be prepared to lose your shirt, pants and then some. Over long, long periods, the markets can, maybe, at times turn kind. But don't expect it.
But heck, enough of cliched by-lines. Tell me, what did the markets teach you today?
Monday, March 17, 2008
5 lessons from the stock market crash
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14 comments:
You seem to be quite influenced by Jack Welch- two posts on stock markets and both with references to Welch and none to Peter Lynch? Just a random thought/comment that came to mind when I read this and not related to your query so hope you don't mind. Maybe cos I am not a great fan of JW.
4. Making money isn't fun.
Hmm... yes, it is!
In the end, it all boils down to luck.
If that is the case, casino is a better place to lose the money. At least, it will be fun.
Idea courtesy: Peter Lynch.
As for JW, read 3rd para in the the section "The Fly in the Ointment."
So luck does a play a big role in all this huh>? I just posted something about so fun reading your post.
Dude i liked ur article ....Its a lesson out there for all youngsters who have just started earning money.....Just dont be greedy enough and fall prey for unpredictable markets
Invest ur money carefully because its ur hard-earned money
Looks like you have forgotten "Ghabarne ka nahin.... Seth"....after all as you always said it's only money
Invested money is money consumed...don't look @ prices. some investmkent gr8 said this - my feeble memory fails me, as usual
Deepa - Good observation. The earlier post, actually, had nothing to do with the markets, but was just quoting an extract, same one I quoted from here. I'm not any big fan of Welch either, it's just that that one bit he said in the book was something that I found quite spot on.Thanks for the comment!
Anon1.42am - sure it is, as long as you do it 365 days a year! Thanks for the comment
Shashikant - Casino or stocks, depends what you want from 'fun'. Like I said, I'm not a big fan of Welch. Besides I'm sure you also read the italicised part in the same part of the link you pointed me too. Thanks for that link, and for that comment.
Desimelange - Thanks for the comment.
Deepak - Thanks very much!
Anon12.56pm - Jai Swamiji! btw, I don't think it was me who said that! Thanks for the comment!
Anon1.14pm - That investment great probably said it during the great Indian bull market. Thanks for the comment!
Can you post this during every bull run please. It makes so much more sense now but come bull run greed runs wide and free.
Kusum Rohra - yeah, yeah...if only I had done it this time..
1. Believe no one.
How right you are>
http://indiaplay.blogspot.com/2008/03/where-are-growth-story-cheer-leaders.html
Anon - yep it is, thanks for the comment!
hey nice blog i really enjoyed it i went through it it was really nice and very nice post
with regards
edgar dantas
www.gadgetworld.co.in
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